Week 8 College Football Betting Trends:
The following college football betting trends piece is a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the college football games of Week 8. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each week’s college football board.
AJ’s Angles
These are the top trends and systems for this week’s CFB games, handpicked by VSiN analyst AJ Makinen.
— College football teams seeking revenge and having at least four more wins on the season than their opponent have been very successful, going 94-15 SU and 73-31-5 ATS (70.2%) since 2016.
System Match (PLAY): DUKE (-3.5 vs. Florida State)
— In games involving two AP ranked teams, when better-ranked home teams have been single-digit favorites or underdogs, they have gone 54-16 SU and 47-20-3 ATS (70.1%) since 2017.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): ILLINOIS (+3 vs. Michigan), TEXAS (-3.5 vs. Georgia)
— PURDUE has a respectable 12-1 ATS record in its last 13 games as a Big Ten dog of 20+ points.
System Match (PLAY): PURDUE (+27.5 vs. Oregon)
— TEMPLE is 2-14 ATS in its last 16 conference games when coming off a road loss.
System Match (FADE): TEMPLE (-2.5 vs. Tulsa)
— College football teams that lost a game as an underdog despite gaining 550 or more yards on offense have bounced back well lately, going 60-40-2 ATS (60%) over the last 10 years.
System Match (PLAY): UTAH STATE (+2 vs. New Mexico)
* ROAD TEAMS are on a 10-1 ATS run in the Baylor-Texas Tech series.
System Match: PLAY BAYLOR (+6.5 at Texas Tech)
* TENNESSEE is 4-12 (25%) as an underdog since 2020.
System Match: FADE TENNESSEE (+3 vs. Alabama)
* UTEP is 6-19 (24%) ATS at home since 2020.
System Match: FADE UTEP (+7 vs. FIU)
#1 TOTAL PROJECTION FAVORING UNDER according to Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
NORTH TEXAS-MEMPHIS UNDER 67 (-8.4)
Strategies using CFB DraftKings Betting Splits data
One of the most touted features on VSiN.com, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors is the betting splits pages. These systems have updated language and records heading into the 2024 season. Note that these systems include only games matching two FBS opponents against one another.
Here are the college football betting trend systems and qualifying plays for this week’s games as of Tuesday afternoon. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until kickoff for best usage. There will be an updated betting splits article on Saturday morning.
CFB DK Betting Splits system #1: Going back to the start of the 2022 season, when 80% or more of the handle was on a particular side of an ATS wager, this majority group has gone just 82-97 ATS (45.8%). This angle has produced at around 46% consistently since first discovered. If you see the big green lights on the VSiN betting splits handle page 80% or higher, it is best to fade it.
System Matches (FADE ALL): FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL, UCONN, ARMY, MIAMI FL, BUFFALO, KENT STATE, FLORIDA ATLANTIC, JAMES MADISON, COLORADO, VANDERBILT, KANSAS STATE, IOWA, COLORADO STATE
CFB DK Betting Splits system #2: When 75%+ of the number of bets were on a particular side of an ATS wager since the start of the ’22 season, this majority group has gone just 164-188 ATS (46.6%). In 2022 it was 46.5%, in 2023 it was 46.7%, maintaining incredible consistency. Again, if you see the big green lights on the VSiN betting splits # of BETS page 75% or higher, it is best to fade it.
System Matches (FADE ALL): FIU, BYU, ARMY, MIAMI FL, WISCONSIN, SOUTH FLORIDA, BUFFALO, TEXAS STATE, NAVY, JAMES MADISON, USC, VANDERBILT, IOWA STATE, KANSAS STATE, IOWA, COLORADO STATE, SMU
CFB DK Betting Splits system #3: When the majority of the handle was on road favorites for an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group is just 164-190 ATS (46.3%). Recreational bettors love road favorites because they are most often the better team. The point spread is the great equalizer. Bettors improved slightly on this system in ’23 but there is still plenty of reason to believe in and fade these over-backed road favorites.
System Matches (FADE ALL): LOUISIANA TECH, FIU, OREGON, MIAMI FL, LOUISIANA, WISCONSIN, TEXAS STATE, ALABAMA, MICHIGAN, JAMES MADISON, USC, TEXAS A&M, ARKANSAS STATE, KANSAS STATE, IOWA, KENTUCKY, COLORADO STATE, SMU, UNLV
CFB DK Betting Splits system #4: When the majority of the handle has been on road underdogs for an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group has gone 142-132 ATS (51.8%). This is less than the usual systems I like to present to readers, but this is a nice advantage against the usual majority win rates, and goes to show that being on the “smart” side of majority handle can pay off.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): BOSTON COLLEGE, UCLA, AUBURN, CENTRAL MICHIGAN, UAB, OHIO, KENT STATE, NC STATE, HOUSTON, RICE, FAU, HAWAII, BAYLOR, COLORADO, NORTH TEXAS, GEORGIA, TCU
CFB DK Betting Splits system #5: When the majority number of bets has backed road underdogs for an ATS wager over the past two seasons, this majority group has gone 126-111 ATS (53.2%). This is even better than the handle numbers in #4 actually, and though it was down a bit for 2023, it suggests that following public bettors getting behind road dogs can be an actionable strategy.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): BOSTON COLLEGE, ARIZONA STATE, FLORIDA ATLANTIC, COLORADO
CFB DK Betting Splits system #6: When the majority of bets have backed a team in an ATS wager in non-Saturday games, their 2022 and 2023 season record was 150-90 (62.5%)! This goes to show that public bettors can be better performers with fewer games to choose from. A lot of times their mistake proves to be taking too many games on a Saturday.
System Matches (PLAY ALL):
Tuesday: SOUTH ALABAMA, MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE, LOUISIANA TECH
Wednesday: SAM HOUSTON STATE, FIU
Thursday: MARSHALL, BOSTON COLLEGE
Friday: DUKE, OREGON, BYU, FRESNO STATE
CFB DK Betting Splits system #7: When the majority of the handle backed the team with more season wins in a FBS vs. FBS game for an ATS wager over the past two seasons, this majority group has gone just 313-354 ATS (46.9%). More than not, bettors like to back the “better team” in a matchup, regardless of what the point spread indicates. Again, the point spread is always the eternal equalizer.
CFB DK Betting Splits system #8: The average college football total has steadied at about 54. In games since the start of the ’22 season where the totals reached 57 or higher and odds makers thus expected them to be a little more explosive when majority handle bettors favored the Under, they have been relatively sharp, going 51-38 (57.3%). This is pretty rare, as it occurred in only 89 of 1,567 games.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): WAKE FOREST-UCONN, UAB-SOUTH FLORIDA, TEXAS STATE-OLD DOMINION, NEW MEXICO-UTAH STATE, BALL STATE-VANDERBILT, NORTH TEXAS-MEMPHIS
CFB DK Betting Splits system #9: Since the start of the 2022 season, on games with totals of 45 or lower, 70%+ super majority handle bettors siding with the Under have gone 25-13 (63.2%). Because not many public bettors embrace betting Unders, this doesn’t produce a lot of plays, but the super handle majority has been sharp.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER): NONE YET
CFB DK Betting Splits system #10: Since the start of the 2022 season, on games with totals of 45 or lower, 75%+ super majority number of bets bettors bucking the low total and siding with the Over have gone 52-34 (60.5%). This system improved its win percentage in 2023. Again, not a ton of plays here in the grand scheme, but the more public option of number of bets has been pretty good when going against the grain.
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): FLORIDA STATE-DUKE, UCLA-RUTGERS, WISCONSIN-NORTHWESTERN, SOUTH CAROLINA-OKLAHOMA, OHIO-MIAMI OH, TOLEDO-NORTHERN ILLINOIS, MICHIGAN-ILLINOIS, IOWA-MICHIGAN STATE, KENTUCKY-FLORIDA
College Football Revenge Handicapping
The following college football betting trends are methodologies for handicapping revenge situations in college football, including the best and worst teams in revenge mode, and the best betting systems uncovered. Revenge is defined as having lost a game to a specific opponent in the prior or current season only.
Best & Worst College Football Revenge Teams (since 2016)
Best
* WISCONSIN is 11-6 SU and 12-5 ATS (70.6%) in revenge mode since 2016
System Match (PLAY): WISCONSIN (-7 at Northwestern)
* KENT STATE is 9-19 SU and 17-11 ATS (60.7%) in revenge mode since 2016
System Match (PLAY): KENT STATE (+20.5 at Bowling Green)
* SOUTH FLORIDA is 5-26 SU and 19-12 ATS (61.3%) in revenge mode since 2016
System Match (PLAY): SOUTH FLORIDA (-13.5 vs. UAB)
Worst
* NEW MEXICO is 8-35 SU and 16-25 ATS (39%) in revenge mode since 2016
System Match (FADE): NEW MEXICO (-1.5 at Utah State)
* MARSHALL is 10-9 SU and 6-13 ATS (31.6%) in revenge mode since 2016
System Match (FADE): MARSHALL (-9.5 vs. Georgia State)
College football revenge systems
Home/road revenge line range angles that have thrived
Double-digit road favorites have been solid producers in the revenge role, going 51-36 ATS (58.6%) since 2016.
System Match (PLAY): LOUISIANA TECH (-11.5 at New Mexico State)
Revenge teams that lost as double-digit favorites last time out
Teams looking to avenge outright losses when they were double-digit favorites have struggled, going just 105-118 ATS (47.1%) since 2016.
System Match (FADE): WISCONSIN (-7 at Northwestern)
Current won-lost records are a good indicator of revenge chances
Teams seeking revenge and having at least four more wins on the season than their opponent have been very successful, going 94-15 SU and 73-31-5 ATS (70.2%) since 2016.
System Match (PLAY): DUKE (-3.5 vs. Florida State)
Key stats of the team seeking revenge matter
Better defensive teams are more successful in exacting revenge than prolific offenses. Since the start of the 2016 season, teams allowing 24 PPG or less have gone 646-557 ATS (53.7%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): LOUISIANA TECH, SAM HOUSTON STATE, BOSTON COLLEGE, DUKE, BYU, MIAMI FL, OHIO, TENNESSEE, BAYLOR, NORTHERN ILLINOIS, WISCONSIN, ARKANSAS, MICHIGAN STATE
Revenge is sweet against porous defensive foes
Teams seeking revenge against a team that is currently allowing 35 PPG or more have been very successful, going 212-164 ATS (56.4%) since 2016.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): LOUISIANA TECH (-11.5 at New Mexico State), TEMPLE (-2.5 vs. Tulsa), SOUTH FLORIDA (-13.5 vs. UAB), NEW MEXICO (-2 at Utah State)
College Football Systems Based on AP Poll Rankings
The following college football betting systems take into account whether or not teams in a non-neutral field game are ranked in the AP poll.
CFB AP Poll Rankings System #1 — Games featuring two ranked teams
In games featuring two ranked teams since 2017, HOME TEAMS are NOW 180-88 SU & 153-107-8 ATS (58.8%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): TENNESSEE (+3 vs. Alabama), ILLINOIS (+3 vs. Michigan), TEXAS (-3.5 vs. Georgia)
Digging deeper into that data, you will find that when the home team has been ranked better, those teams have gone 105-19 SU and 76-44-4 ATS (63.3%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): ILLINOIS (+3 vs. Michigan), TEXAS (-3.5 vs. Georgia)
Adding another point spread wrinkle to the last angle, when better ranked home teams have been single-digit favorites or underdogs, they have gone 54-16 SU and 47-20-3 ATS (70.1%) since 2017.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): ILLINOIS (+3 vs. Michigan), TEXAS (-3.5 vs. Georgia)
College Football Conference Play Systems and Trends
These college football betting trends are from an article posted in September 2024 detailing top trends and systems for college football conference play.
Road teams in conference games coming off very close losses of less than three points have struggled lately, 72-102 ATS (41.4%) since 2011.
System Matches (FADE ALL): CENTRAL MICHIGAN (+2 at EMU), KENT STATE (+20.5 at Bowling Green), SOUTH CAROLINA (+2.5 at Oklahoma)
Teams playing as conference road dogs of more than seven points after not having played since 14 days ago are on a 133-102 ATS (56.6%) surge since 2010.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): EAST CAROLINA (+15.5 at Army), CHARLOTTE (+17 at Navy)
Teams playing at home in conference games as dogs of more than three points when coming off a huge upset win as a double-digit road underdog have been a play-against team, 26-45 ATS (36.6%) since 2010.
System Matches (FADE): NORTHWESTERN (+7 vs. Wisconsin)
Top Team Trends in Conference Games
Negative FADE trends:
• UCF is on a 0-11 ATS skid in conference games when coming off a close loss of seven points or less
System Match (FADE): UCF (+14 at Iowa State)
• USC has lost eight of its last nine games ATS as a favorite in conference play
System Match (FADE): USC (-7 at Maryland)
• STANFORD is 1-12 ATS in its last 13 conference games when coming off a road loss
System Match (FADE): STANFORD (+15 vs. SMU)
• TEMPLE is 2-14 ATS in its last 16 conference games when coming off a road loss
System Match (FADE): TEMPLE (-2.5 vs. Tulsa)
• MEMPHIS is on a 4-16 ATS skid in conference games when coming off an outright win
System Match (FADE): MEMPHIS (-11 vs. North Texas)
Positive FOLLOW trends:
• TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO has won nine of its last 10 conference games ATS when coming off an outright loss
System Match (PLAY): UTSA (-3.5 vs. FAU)
• TROY has won its last eight Sun Belt road games ATS
System Match (PLAY): TROY (+11 at USA)
• OLD DOMINION has won nine of its last 10 games ATS as a conference underdog
System Match (PLAY): OLD DOMINION (+10.5 vs. Texas State)
• WESTERN KENTUCKY is on a 12-1 ATS surge in conference play when coming off a win at home
System Match (PLAY): WESTERN KENTUCKY (+2.5 at Sam Houston State)
• PURDUE has a respectable 12-1 ATS record in its last 13 games as a Big Ten dog of 20+ points
System Match (PLAY): PURDUE (+27.5 vs. Oregon)• GEORGIA STATE is on a solid road Sun Belt run of 13-3 ATS
System Match (PLAY): GEORGIA STATE (+9.5 at Marshall)
Extreme Stat Next Game CFB Betting Systems
Unexpected blowout games are bad future indicators for both teams
Both college football teams coming off a game that was decided by a margin 38 points or more different from the final point spread, either win or lose, have struggled in the next one, going just 133-183-1 ATS (42.1%) over the last decade-plus.
System Matches (FADE ALL): EAST CAROLINA (+15.5 at Army), CHARLOTTE (+17 at Navy), MARYLAND (+7 vs. USC), NORTHWESTERN (+7 vs. Wisconsin)
Playing well offensively but losing a good sign for next outing
College football teams that lost a game as an underdog despite gaining 550 or more yards on offense have bounced back well lately, going 60-40-2 ATS (60%) over the last 10 years.
System Match (PLAY): UTAH STATE (+2 vs. New Mexico)
This week’s College Football Strength Ratings
The following are taken from today’s MAKINEN POWER RATINGS page under the College Football tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parenthesis).
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. COLORADO +3.5 (+5.2)
2. NEW MEXICO STATE +11.5 (+4.7)
3 (tie). BUFFALO +1.5 (+3.6)
COASTAL CAROLINA +4.5 (+3.6)
5. TOLEDO +3 (+2.8)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. BOWLING GREEN -20.5 (+6.9)
2. VANDERBILT -25.5 (+6.5)
3. TULANE -21.5 (+6.3)
4. UCONN -1 (+6.0)
5. MIAMI OH -3.5 (+5.5)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. BALL STATE +25.5 (+10.6)
2. RICE +21.5 (+8.0)
3. TENNESSEE +3 (+7.9)
4. EAST CAROLINA +15.5 (+6.4)
5. COASTAL CAROLINA +4.5 (+5.9)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. SMU -15 (+5.2)
2 (tie). DUKE -3 (+4.9)
BYU -9.5 (+4.9)
4. TEXAS -3.5 (+4.2)
5. NAVY -17 (+3.9)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. TOLEDO-NORTHERN ILLINOIS OVER 43 (+5.8)
2. UCLA-RUTGERS OVER 41 (+4.1)
3 (tie). BAYLOR-TEXAS TECH OVER 55.5 (+4.0)
WYOMING-SAN JOSE STATE OVER 50.5 (+4.0)
5. FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL-UTEP OVER 48 (+3.6)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. NORTH TEXAS-MEMPHIS UNDER 67 (-8.4)
2. GEORGIA-TEXAS UNDER 56 (-3.2)
3. HAWAII-WASHINGTON STATE UNDER 55.5 (-2.8)
4. FLORIDA STATE-DUKE UNDER 42.5 (-2.6)
5 (tie). TEXAS STATE-OLD DOMINION UNDER 61.5 (-2.3)
AUBURN-MISSOURI UNDER 52 (-2.3)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1 (tie). OKLAHOMA STATE +9.5 (+10.2)
UCF +14 (+10.2)
TOLEDO +3 (+10.2)
4. STANFORD +15 (+10.0)
5 (tie). NEW MEXICO STATE +11.5 (+9.9)
RICE +21.5 (+9.9)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. BOWLING GREEN -20.5 (+10.1)
2. FRESNO STATE -2.5 (+8.1)
3. MEMPHIS -11 (+7.5)
4. RUTGERS -4.5 (+6.1)
5. OKLAHOMA -2.5 (+5.3)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. BAYLOR-TEXAS TECH OVER 55.5 (+7.3)
2. NOTRE DAME-GA TECH OVER 49 (+5.9)
3. FIU-UTEP OVER 48 (+5.2)
4. OKLAHOMA STATE-BYU OVER 53 (+5.0)
5. ALABAMA-TENNESSEE OVER 56.5 (+4.3)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. CHARLOTTE-NAVY UNDER 55 (-5.9)
2. TEXAS STATE-OLD DOMINION UNDER 61.5 (-5.3)
3. CENTRAL MICHIGAN-EASTERN MICHIGAN UNDER 56 (-4.8)
4. TEXAS A&M-MISSISSIPPI STATE UNDER 56 (-4.2)
5. FLORIDA STATE-DUKE UNDER 42.5 (-3.6)
Top Team Situational College Football Betting Trends
These are some of the top situational trends that have developed with teams in recent years:
* ARIZONA STATE is 25-14-1 (64.1%) ATS as an Underdog since 2018
System Match: PLAY ARIZONA STATE (+2.5 at Cincinnati)
* ARKANSAS is 3-12 (20%) ATS coming off SU Win since 2020
System Match: FADE ARKANSAS (+3 vs. LSU)
* BALL STATE is 32-19 (62.7%) UNDER the total over the last six seasons
System Match: PLAY UNDER in Ball State-Vanderbilt (o/u at 58.5)
* BOSTON COLLEGE is 21-12 (63.6%) ATS in Conference games since ’20
System Match: PLAY BOSTON COLLEGE (+6.5 at Virginia Tech)
* BUFFALO is 21-9 (70%) ATS at Home since ’19
System Match: PLAY BUFFALO (+1.5 vs. Western Michigan)
* FLA INTERNATIONAL is 11-26 (29.7%) in Conference games over the last six seasons
System Match: FADE FIU (-7 at UTEP)
* FLORIDA STATE is 10-19 (34.5%) ATS in Road/Neutral games since ’19
* FLORIDA STATE is 10-19 (34.5%) ATS in Conference games since ’21
Systems Match: FADE FLORIDA STATE (+3.5 at Duke)
* FRESNO STATE is 28-16-1 (63.6%) UNDER the total since ’21
System Match: PLAY UNDER in Fresno State-Nevada (o/u at 50.5)
* GEORGIA is 21-11 (65.6%) ATS in Road/Neutral games since ’20
System Match: PLAY GEORGIA (+3.5 at Texas)
* GEORGIA STATE is 19-7 (73.1%) ATS in the last 26 Road/Neutral games
System Match: PLAY GEORGIA STATE (+9.5 at Marshall)
* IOWA is 43-25 (63.2%) UNDER the total in the last 68 games
System Match: PLAY UNDER in Iowa-Michigan State (o/u at 41)
* JAMES MADISON is 22-9 (71%) ATS as Favorite since ’20
System Match: PLAY JAMES MADISON (-10 at Georgia Southern)
* KANSAS is 3-15 (16.7%) ATS as Favorite since ’18
* KANSAS is 35-18 (66%) OVER the total since 2019
Systems Match: FADE KANSAS (-6.5 vs. Houston), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 46.5)
* KANSAS STATE is 42-25-2 (62.7%) ATS since 2019
System Match: PLAY KANSAS STATE (-3 at West Virginia)
* KENT STATE is 7-20 (25.9%) ATS in the last 27 games as an Underdog
System Match: FADE KENT STATE (+20.5 at Bowling Green)
* LOUISIANA TECH is 33-18-1 (64.7%) OVER the total since 2019
* LOUISIANA TECH is 7-18 (28%) ATS in Conference games over the last four seasons
Systems Match: FADE LOUISIANA TECH (-11.5 at New Mexico State), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 49.5)
* LSU is 21-12 (63.6%) ATS in Road/Neutral games since ’19
* LSU is 22-11 (66.7%) OVER the total since 2022
Systems Match: PLAY LSU (-3 at Arkansas), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 55.5)
* MIAMI OHIO is on a 32-17 (65.3%) UNDER the total run over the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY UNDER in Ohio-Miami Ohio (o/u at 44.5)
* MICHIGAN is 30-18-1 (62.5%) ATS in the last four seasons (including 16-6 ATS in Road/Neutral games)
System Match: PLAY MICHIGAN (-3 at Illinois)
* MISSISSIPPI STATE is 26-17 (60.5%) UNDER the total since ’21
* MISSISSIPPI STATE is 14-10 (58.3%) ATS at Home since ’21
Systems Match: PLAY MISSISSIPPI STATE (+15.5 vs. Texas A&M), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 56)
* NEW MEXICO is 18-38 (32.1%) ATS in Conference games since ’17
* NEW MEXICO is 5-16 (23.8%) ATS as a Favorite since ’18
Systems Match: FADE NEW MEXICO (-2 at Utah State)
* NEW MEXICO STATE is 27-19 (58.7%) ATS in the last five seasons (including 11-4 ATS as a favorite)
System Match: PLAY NEW MEXICO STATE (+11.5 vs. Louisiana Tech)
* NORTHERN ILLINOIS is 5-17-2 (22.7%) ATS in the last 24 Home games
System Match: FADE NORTHERN ILLINOIS (-3 vs. Toledo)
* OLD DOMINION is 7-19 (26.9%) ATS at Home since ’19
System Match: FADE OLD DOMINION (+10.5 vs. Texas State)
* OREGON STATE is 26-8 (76.5%) ATS in Home games over the last six seasons
System Match: PLAY OREGON ST (+7 vs. UNLV)
* PURDUE is 17-13 (56.7%) ATS as Underdog since ’20
System Match: PLAY PURDUE (+27.5 vs. Oregon)
* STANFORD is 5-17 (22.7%) ATS in the last 22 Home games
System Match: FADE STANFORD (+15 vs. SMU)
* TEMPLE is 16-10 (61.5%) ATS coming off SU Loss since ’20
System Match: PLAY TEMPLE (-2.5 vs. Tulsa)
* TENNESSEE is 4-12 (25%) as an Underdog since 2020
System Match: FADE TENNESSEE (+3 vs. Alabama)
* TROY is 17-4 (81%) ATS in Road/Neutral games since ’21
System Match: PLAY TROY (+11 at South Alabama)
* TULANE is 44-21 (67.7%) ATS as Favorite since ’14
System Match: PLAY TULANE (-21.5 vs. Rice)
* TULSA is 24-9-1 (72.7%) ATS in Road/Neutral games over the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY TULSA (+2.5 at Temple)
* TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO is 5-14 (26.3%) ATS at Home since ’21
System Match: FADE UTSA (-3.5 vs. FAU)
* UNLV is on a 15-5 (75%) ATS run following a SU win
System Match: PLAY UNLV (-7 at Oregon State)
* UTEP is 6-19 (24%) ATS at Home since ’20
System Match: FADE UTEP (+7 vs. FIU)
* VANDERBILT is on a 4-11 (26.7%) ATS skid following a SU win
System Match: FADE VANDERBILT (-25.5 vs. Ball State)
* VIRGINIA TECH is 5-20 (20%) ATS in the last 25 games following up a SU win
System Match: FADE VIRGINIA TECH (-6.5 vs. BC)
* WEST VIRGINIA has gone 17-9 ATS (65.4%) at HOME in the last four seasons
System Match: PLAY WEST VIRGINIA (+3 vs. KSU)
Top Head-to-Head Series College Football Betting Trends
These are the top head-to-head series trends between teams from recent years’ action:
Week 8
(301) TROY at (302) SOUTH ALABAMA
* TROY is on a 6-0 SU & ATS streak versus South Alabama
System Match: PLAY TROY (+11 at USA)
(317) FLORIDA STATE at (318) DUKE
* FLORIDA STATE is on runs of 22-0 SU and 8-0-1 ATS vs. Duke
System Match: PLAY FLORIDA STATE (+3.5 at Duke)
(389) FRESNO STATE at (390) NEVADA
* ROAD TEAMS are 11-2 ATS in the last 13 of this series
System Match: PLAY FRESNO STATE (-2.5 at Nevada)
(345) ALABAMA at (346) TENNESSEE
* ALABAMA is on a 14-5-1 ATS run vs. Tennessee
System Match: PLAY ALABAMA (-3 at Tennessee)
(361) BAYLOR at (362) TEXAS TECH
* ROAD TEAMS are on a 10-1 ATS run in the series
System Match: PLAY BAYLOR (+6.5 at Texas Tech)
(363) KENT STATE at (364) BOWLING GREEN
* ROAD TEAMS are on a 10-2 ATS run in the series
System Match: PLAY KENT STATE (+20.5 at Bowling Green)
(367) TOLEDO at (368) NORTHERN ILLINOIS
* ROAD TEAMS are on 10-2 ATS run in the series
System Match: PLAY TOLEDO (+3 at Northern Illinois)
(377) WISCONSIN at (378) NORTHWESTERN
* UNDER the total is 8-2-1 since 2013 in the series
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 41)
(383) COLORADO STATE at (389) AIR FORCE
* ROAD TEAMS are on a 7-0 ATS run in the series
System Match: PLAY COLORADO STATE (-7 at Air Force)
(399) LSU at (400) ARKANSAS
* ARKANSAS is on a 12-4 ATS run versus LSU
System Match: PLAY ARKANSAS (+3 vs. LSU)
(405) TEXAS A&M at (406) MISSISSIPPI STATE
* FAVORITES are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 of the series
System Match: PLAY TEXAS A&M (-15.5 at Mississippi State)
The post College Football Top Plays Based on Betting Splits, Power Ratings and Trends – Week 8 appeared first on VSiN.
